Time Series Analysis and Forecast of COVID-19 Data in Southern African Countries



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Submitted Sep 7, 2021
Published Sep 25, 2022
10.24018/ejmath.2022.3.5.61

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In this paper, we begin by analyzing different time series COVID-19 data by exploring confirmed, death and recovered daily reports from January 22, 2020 to September 2nd, 2021 in the southern African counties. We then use the Prophet model to forecast the total numbers of infected cases from September 3rd, 2021 to December 1st, 2021 by providing graphics and by giving tables containing the total numbers of infected cases from November 27, 2021 to December 1st, 2021 for each country in the zone.
Keywords: COVID 19, data analysis, forecast, prophet model, time series

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